Monday, March 9, 2009

Globalization@Recession.com : Mails From a Globalized World


Globalization@Recession.org

Looking out of the classroom window, in the Belfer Center of Kennedy School of Government, Harvard, USA, I tried to focus my mind on the ongoing lecture – “Globalization”. It was a part of the curriculum in my Masters degree in Public Management.

I know... today it is a much maligned word, especially in the developing world. In the desert settlements of Sub-Saharan Africa, where much of the teeming humanity strives to live in one-dollar-a-day income, it assumes the proportion of a divine curse.

But not too long ago it was the Holy Grail for the developed world, as Jagadish Bhagawati, the famed American Economist of Indian Origin would testify. Never mind the occasional attacks mounted by a certain Joseph Stiglitz, another American Nobel Economist.

At the beginning of the lecture, the Nash looking professor had asked all of us to define “globalization” in our own words. It was so difficult to define it. I mean you know a thing in a kind of vague way , but when someone asks you for a precise definition , you would be kind of "dashed" as Wooster ( of P.G.Wodehouse fame) would have put it . The classroom had students from all over the world- from Mexico to Kenya. Yet only a few ventured to define. None was satisfactory...at least to the professor.

Right after that moment my mind was not on the lecture. So simple and familiar a word and yet it appeared to confound us all. After struggling for a while an American student, sitting near me opened his lunch box and closed his mind.

I tried to pen my thoughts on a scrap of paper and surprised to see it taking the shape of a rhyming poem. Here is what I wrote that day :-


Globalization

When a virus in Pakistan,
Crashes computers from Botswana to Boston...
When a twist from Michael Jackson,
Triggers epileptic feats in a Mongolian maiden...

You feel an invisible force,
The force, my friend, of globalization!

When a terrorist in Jordan, Transfers money from Japan
To buy a bomb in Ukraine, for a target in Manhattan...

You feel an invisible force,
The force, my friend, of globalization!

If Dollars catch fever from the sneezes of a Yen,
And pizza-wars over market share are fought in dry Congo-terrain,
When Baggio turns Buddhist and Beckham’s tattoo reflects Vedic Religion...

You feel an invisible force,
The force, my friend, of globalization!

What is globalization?
Is it an attempt to create a single face and one vision?

For a planet that ploughs through the space,
In a state of perpetual motion …? “

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PostScript: - As recession casts its long shadow over the global economic landscape, virtues of Milton Freedman style capitalism seem less evident. The Keynesians appear to be back with a bang in the free market havens of USA as Obama tries to drag the country away from the approaching apocalypse through Government intervention - an euphemism for “Capitol crying for Capital”. The Indian-GDP sized stimulus package announced by US government to pull the omnipotent multinationals of yesterday up the abyss of bankruptcy brings the curtain down on a quarter century of unbridled free market economic theory. Remember, the cardinal principle of Free Market Capitalism – “No artificial correction to the “Aggregate Demand” through Fiscal and Monetary measures. The market would recover by itself in the long run.” More than 700 billion dollars of tax payer’s money for correcting the imbalance! Seems more of a “creation” of a new economic curve than a “correction” to an existing one.

Remember how Keynes had ridiculed the free market champions in his famous phrase “In the long run we are all dead .... His policy prescription during the depression years was that instead of trying to save ,the Government should “spend the money they don’t have”. In recession his innovative idea was when the private industry shrinks and hands over the pink slip to its workers, the State should create work and may even pay its citizens “ for digging holes and filling them back”.

So we will be unfortunate to witness one more epic battle of “Free market Philosophy” (that is at the heart of “Free Trade and Globalization”) of Bhagawati and the “Interventionist” approach of John Maynard Keynes – a battle that has been witnessed more than once in the last century. So far Obama seems to listen to the ghost of Keynes while Hayek and Freedman turn in their graves.

And as I write today , my sacred belief in Hayek and Freedman seems to shake, wobble and totter – a dashed unpleasant state of mind as Bertie Wooster would have testified...
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2 comments:

  1. Keynes in his “The General Theory of…” does emphasizes intervention though “Govt. Spending” after the “Great Depression”.. Though it caught the imagination, Milton Friedman broke the jinx and made the so called “Monetarist” free market theory… But theories apart, do we really ever believe in these so called “Free market”? Otherwise, how do you justify the clamour for “farm subsidy” by the powerful Western economies? Sometime I feel pride in capacity of India in stalling the World Trade talk…Economic power does always rule. In Free market. In Interventionist market. The ‘‘Free Market” acts as a superb veneer in pushing own goods through… The concept of “egalitarian society” by Pareto (?) remains a back-seat. Always…

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  2. While protectionist measures like "farm subsidy" in the backyard of the avowedly "free market" proponents raise question as to whether at all the "theory" is valid in practice, the alternative systems seem to be fraught with more serious imperfections ! Without free global market, Indian Software would never have excelled and become a catalyst for general economic growth in India, with invisible barriers , Indian NRI innovators would never have made their mark in world economy !

    Since economic theory is an imperfect science, translating it into public policy is still in the hands of politicians who , more often than not, are besieged with short term expediciency for their immediate gain. That is perhaps the reason why skewed versions of practice crop up at various countries. In fact, the practice of free market economic philosophy would seem bizarre when one looks at the economies of some OECD countries, especially of Scandinavian Origin !

    As a philosophy, free market owes its origin to a theory of equality . But I feel that its biggest contribution is the recognition of inequality as a major social force- The inequality of talent and creativity of individuals in society. Talent based inequality must exist to foster innovation. Everybody can not and should not be equal in all respects. The current theorists call it the theory of "creative destruction", when applied to Industry .

    On the flip side, look who benefited from WTO. Paradoxically , it is China - The reluctant entrant ! With neraly 700$Bn tarde surplus against USA .

    Thanks for the stimulating discussion !

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